Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.028836 0.031067 0.033401 0.036027 0.038902 0.041958 0.045459
2025-02-02 0.025526 0.028744 0.032290 0.036502 0.041386 0.046889 0.053590
2025-02-09 0.022853 0.026584 0.030859 0.036147 0.042550 0.050101 0.059752
2025-02-16 0.020960 0.025026 0.029832 0.035979 0.043696 0.053148 0.065735
2025-02-23 0.019397 0.023670 0.028857 0.035680 0.044516 0.055701 0.071142
2025-03-02 0.018223 0.022670 0.028196 0.035651 0.045578 0.058527 0.077009
2025-03-09 0.017023 0.021533 0.027251 0.035140 0.045904 0.060327 0.081537
2025-03-16 0.015906 0.020420 0.026248 0.034449 0.045891 0.061599 0.085343
2025-03-23 0.015054 0.019597 0.025563 0.034118 0.046310 0.063444 0.090044
2025-03-30 0.014295 0.018850 0.024927 0.033794 0.046687 0.065209 0.094705
2025-04-06 0.013494 0.017999 0.024095 0.033131 0.046508 0.066116 0.098076
2025-04-13 0.013099 0.017686 0.023987 0.033486 0.047824 0.069302 0.105211
2025-04-20 0.012596 0.017199 0.023613 0.033438 0.048540 0.071635 0.111199
2025-04-27 0.012265 0.016942 0.023552 0.033843 0.049964 0.075152 0.119414
2025-05-04 0.011747 0.016388 0.023028 0.033512 0.050204 0.076779 0.124534
2025-05-11 0.011317 0.015941 0.022638 0.033357 0.050704 0.078840 0.130547
2025-05-18 0.010886 0.015472 0.022190 0.033084 0.050984 0.080535 0.136020
2025-05-25 0.010547 0.015126 0.021911 0.033057 0.051659 0.082925 0.142935
2025-06-01 0.010120 0.014629 0.021376 0.032589 0.051559 0.083958 0.147374
2025-06-08 0.009680 0.014095 0.020761 0.031958 0.051140 0.084391 0.150680
2025-06-15 0.009344 0.013707 0.020359 0.031655 0.051266 0.085793 0.155974
2025-06-22 0.009028 0.013340 0.019973 0.031359 0.051381 0.087173 0.161323
2025-06-29 0.008661 0.012879 0.019420 0.030752 0.050908 0.087427 0.164376